A new set of polling in Redbridge is showing a major shift in voter sentiment after the latest federal budget, with One Nation moving sharply ahead and overtaking Labor for second place in the contest. The update is described as a “breaking” development and highlights a clear momentum swing that could tighten the wider race as the election period continues.
According to the figures provided, One Nation is now polling at 31%, gaining four percentage points compared with the prior measure. Labor, meanwhile, is recorded at 28%, reflecting a drop of three points. The Coalition is listed at 20%, with the gap between the leading parties and the next tier growing as the numbers move.
The headline change is not only that One Nation is in front, but that it has increased its lead through a notable jump following the budget. The text specifically frames the movement as a four-point rise for One Nation, while Labor’s decline accompanies that rise. In practical terms, One Nation’s improved standing is described as a leap over Labor, implying that the latest polling has broken a previously closer balance between those two major contesting forces.
While the exact polling methodology is not discussed in the provided excerpt, the results are clearly presented as a comparative snapshot of voter support. The narrative emphasizes that the new position gives One Nation a 10-point advantage over the Coalition. That 10-point lead is portrayed as significant, suggesting that the Coalition’s share of voter preference—at 20%—is not keeping pace with the movement seen among the top parties.
The update also includes a pointed political reaction in the tone of the original comment. It suggests that supporters and opponents alike are likely to see the numbers as consequential, particularly because the leader change comes immediately after budget developments. The phrasing implies surprise at the speed of the shift and indicates that the result may complicate campaign messaging going forward.
In addition to listing the percentages and their movement, the text draws attention to the relative direction of change: One Nation is gaining ground (+4), Labor is losing ground (-3), and the Coalition sits at a comparatively lower level (20%). Even without further breakdown, the overall pattern points to a reshaping of the electoral landscape in Redbridge, where previously steadier standings appear to have been disturbed.
The excerpt also frames the polling as a moment that could influence broader political strategy. When a party jumps several points after a budget, political observers often treat it as a sign of either changing public perceptions of economic priorities or shifting trust in how parties are managing policy and costs. In this case, One Nation’s rise is described as a direct outcome following the budget period referenced by the text.
Moreover, the mention of a “4 point jump after budget” implies that the timing matters. The polling movement is not presented as a gradual drift over a long stretch, but rather as a relatively discrete shift that follows a specific political event. That framing can raise the stakes for parties that may need to respond quickly, particularly Labor, which now trails One Nation and has slipped from the position it held before the change.
The text concludes with a remark aimed at a named political figure—Kos Samaras—adding a personal, partisan flavor to the report. The comment suggests the result is upsetting or surprising to that individual, reflecting the emotional and strategic impact the poll movement may have within party circles.
Overall, the core news message is straightforward: the latest Redbridge polling indicates One Nation has surged to 31% (+4), Labor is down to 28% (-3), and the Coalition is at 20%. The report stresses that One Nation holds a 10-point lead over the Coalition and that it has overtaken Labor following the budget, marking a potentially decisive change in voter support in the area.
Source: Source
Aus Integrity: BREAKING: Latest Redbridge polling shows One Nation out front, leaping over Labor in a 4 point jump after budget. 🟠One Nation 31% (+4) 🔴Labor 28% (-3) 🔵Coalition 20% There is now a 10 point lead over the coalition. Kos Samaras’ toes will be curling.. #breaking
— @QBCCIntegrity May 1, 2026
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