A recent Roy Morgan Poll has revealed a dramatic shift in the Australian political landscape, with the Australian Labor Party (ALP) experiencing a significant and historic collapse in its support. The poll indicates that Labor’s vote has fallen to a new low of 27.5%, marking a decrease of 2 percentage points. This sharp decline is particularly concerning for the incumbent government and suggests a growing dissatisfaction among the electorate.
In stark contrast, the One Nation Party (ONP) has seen a substantial surge in its popularity, climbing 1 percentage point to reach 25.5%. This positions One Nation as a significant challenger, nearly on par with Labor’s current support. The traditional Liberal-National Coalition (L-NP) has also shown some resilience, recording 23% of the vote, a slight decrease of 1 percentage point. Despite this minor dip, their combined strength with One Nation presents a formidable bloc.
The Australian Greens (GRN) have also experienced an increase in support, gaining 2 percentage points to stand at 13.5%. This indicates a growing segment of the electorate is leaning towards the Greens, possibly reflecting concerns about environmental policies or a desire for alternative progressive representation.
The category for ‘Others’ (OTH) has remained stable, holding 10.5% of the vote, suggesting that smaller parties or independent candidates are collectively maintaining a consistent level of support without significant shifts.
The overall comparison between the major political alignments paints a concerning picture for the Labor-Green coalition. When combining the votes for the ONP and L-NP, their total stands at a commanding 48.5%. Conversely, the combined vote for Labor and the Greens is significantly lower, at 41%. This substantial difference of 7.5 percentage points highlights a clear advantage for the conservative and right-wing parties according to this poll.
The implications of these poll results are far-reaching. For the Labor Party, the historic low in vote share signals an urgent need to reassess their platform, campaign strategies, and public communication. The decline could be attributed to a variety of factors, including economic concerns, cost of living pressures, or dissatisfaction with government policies. The rise of One Nation suggests a segment of the population is seeking more direct and potentially populist solutions to their grievances, while the Greens’ increase points to an ongoing demand for climate action and progressive social policies.
The L-NP’s slight recovery, while not dramatic, indicates that the Coalition may be consolidating its base or attracting voters who are disillusioned with the current government. The stability of ‘Other’ parties suggests that while a large portion of the electorate is swinging between the major players, there is a consistent minority who prefer alternative political options.
This Roy Morgan Poll, conducted by the Foundation for Economic Education, presents a snapshot of the current public mood in Australia and sets the stage for potentially significant political realignments. The data underscores the dynamic and often unpredictable nature of voter sentiment, and the challenges facing all political parties in capturing and retaining public trust and support. The upcoming political period will likely be characterized by intense campaigning and strategic maneuvering as parties attempt to adapt to these shifting allegiances and address the concerns highlighted by this critical poll. The results serve as a wake-up call for the ruling party and a boost for their political rivals.
Source: Foundation for Economic Education
Craig Kelly:🇦🇺Foundation for Economic Education: 🔥🔥Breaking – New Roy Morgan Poll 🔥🔥 Labor vote collapses to a historic low 🔴ALP: 27.5% (-2) 🟠ONP: 25.5% (+1) 🔵L-NP 23% (-1) 🟢GRN: 13.5% (+2) ⚫️OTH: 10.5% (-) ONP/L=NP 48.5% v Labor/Green 41%. #breaking
— @craigkellyAFEE May 1, 2026
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