Craig Kelly-backed poll shows One Nation surging to 31% in Redbridge, overtaking Labor as locals watch Kos Samaras

By | May 31, 2026

A new poll highlighted a major shift in political support in Redbridge, a local area reportedly governed by Labor figure Kos Samaras. The update was shared in a post attributed to Craig Kelly and linked to the Foundation for Economic Education, where the author framed the numbers as “BREAKING” and emphasized the significance of One Nation reaching the top spot.

According to the poll results presented, One Nation captured 31% of voter support in Redbridge. The figure was described as a gain of four percentage points, indicating momentum compared with the previous polling snapshot. The post positioned this rise as a key development, arguing that it represents a meaningful change in voter sentiment rather than a marginal fluctuation.

The poll also listed Labor at 28%, with a decline of three percentage points. This drop was important in the story because it helped widen the gap between Labor and One Nation. In the framing of the post, Labor’s falling numbers were contrasted with One Nation’s rising support, creating a narrative of Labor losing ground while its primary challenger benefits.

The Coalition was reported at 20%, suggesting it sits behind both major contenders in this particular local measure. While the post did not provide an explicit movement for the Coalition in the provided excerpt, the inclusion of the figure reinforced that the contest appears to be concentrated between One Nation and Labor, at least based on this poll.

The central thrust of the message was that One Nation has “hit the front” in Redbridge. That phrase implies One Nation overtook the previously leading party, and the author treated this as a standout moment. The poll figures were presented in a way that suggests the gap between the leading party and its nearest rival may matter politically, particularly in a locality where governance is associated with Labor leadership.

The context provided is that Redbridge is “run by” a Labor man, identified in the post as Kos Samaras. By drawing attention to this point, the author framed the poll as more than a simple statistical update. The implication is that if these poll results reflect voter attitudes in the area, Labor’s local position could be pressured by growing support for One Nation.

Although the excerpt does not offer details on methodology—such as sample size, polling dates, or whether the results reflect first preferences, two-party preferred calculations, or a particular voter subgroup—the story presented is straightforward: a new poll in Redbridge indicates a surge for One Nation and a decline for Labor, with the Coalition trailing further behind.

The post’s emphasis on “release” suggests the poll was newly published and therefore timely. The language used (“This is huge”) underscores that the author sees the change as potentially consequential, especially given the local political circumstances mentioned. In effect, the story is urging readers to take note of a rapidly shifting landscape.

Overall, the news story consists of three main data points: One Nation leading at 31% with a +4 movement; Labor second at 28% with a -3 movement; and the Coalition at 20%. Combined with the statement that Redbridge is governed by Labor through Kos Samaras, the post argues that the poll’s outcome signals a significant challenge to the local status quo.

The excerpt does not include any additional discussion of policy issues, campaign events, candidate changes, or voter demographic drivers. Instead, it focuses on the scoreboard and the interpretation that the political balance in Redbridge is changing. The story therefore functions primarily as a report of polling results, paired with a commentary that the numbers are especially notable because they place One Nation in front in a Labor-run area.

Source: Craig Kelly / Foundation for Economic Education

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