Novak Djokovic is the man to beat at the Australian Open 2024. The defending champion is looking to secure his unprecedented 11th title in Melbourne and his 25th career major. Despite some initial speculation about a potential reunion with Rafael Nadal, who recently made a stunning return to action after a year away due to injury and surgery, Djokovic’s main challengers are now Carlos Alcaraz, Daniil Medvedev, and Jannik Sinner.
Alcaraz and Medvedev have been the only players to defeat Djokovic in a Grand Slam final in the past three years. Alcaraz’s memorable victory came at Wimbledon last July, while Medvedev triumphed at the US Open in 2021. Meanwhile, Sinner has managed to take down Djokovic twice in the span of a month, in the Davis Cup semis and the ATP Finals. However, defeating Djokovic at the Australian Open will be a daunting task, as he boasts an impressive 89-8 record at the tournament and has not lost a final in the last five years.
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In the first quarter of the draw, Djokovic has been handed a comfortable path. Although there are former Grand Slam winners Andy Murray and Stan Wawrinka in his section, their recurring injuries have diminished the threat they once posed. Djokovic could potentially face Ben Shelton in the pre-quarters, with a quarterfinal showdown against Stefanos Tsitsipas, who faces Matteo Berrettini in the opener, in the cards.
The second quarter sees fourth seed Jannik Sinner as the favorite. He will have to navigate past Karen Khachanov, who made the semis last year, and potentially Milos Raonic and Andre Rublev. Local favorite Alex de Minaur, who recently defeated Djokovic in the United Cup, faces a tough opening match against former Wimbledon finalist Milos Raonic and will need to overcome Rublev in a projected pre-quarters match-up.
The third quarter features Daniil Medvedev, who has had some near misses at the Australian Open in recent years. He fell to Djokovic in the 2021 final and was famously denied by Rafael Nadal in the 2022 final. Medvedev’s path to the quarterfinals could include a clash with Felix Auger-Aliassime in the third round and a potential meeting with Grigor Dimitrov in the round of 16.
In the fourth quarter, Carlos Alcaraz aims to make a mark in Melbourne after missing the 2023 edition due to injury. He faces challenges from Dan Evans, Lorenzo Sonego, and Alexander Bublik, but his biggest threat is Alexander Zverev, the sixth seed. Zverev showed great form at the United Cup and will be a tough opponent for Alcaraz.
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In the semifinals, Djokovic is predicted to defeat Sinner, while Medvedev is expected to overcome Alcaraz. This sets up an exciting final between Djokovic and Medvedev. Despite the potential for fierce competition, Djokovic is tipped to emerge as the eventual champion.
As the Australian Open approaches, tennis fans around the world eagerly anticipate the showdown between Djokovic and his challengers. Will Djokovic continue his dominance in Melbourne, or will one of the rising stars manage to dethrone him? All eyes will be on the men’s singles competition as the battle for the title unfolds..
