Moody’s downgrades China’s credit outlook to negative over fiscal strength concerns.

By | December 5, 2023

“Moody’s Downgrades China’s Credit Outlook to Negative, Citing Fiscal Risks”

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Moody’s Downgrades China’s Credit Outlook to Negative, Citing Fiscal Weakness

In a surprising move, Moody’s downgraded China’s credit outlook from stable to negative on Wednesday. The credit rating agency cited concerns over the country’s fiscal strength and highlighted the downside risks it faces.

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The announcement sent shockwaves through global markets, as China’s credit rating has long been seen as a reflection of its economic stability and growth potential. Moody’s downgrade comes at a time when the world’s second-largest economy is already grappling with challenges such as rising debt levels, slowing growth, and an ongoing trade war with the United States.

Moody’s decision to change China’s credit outlook is significant because it indicates a potential future downgrade of the country’s credit rating. A downgrade would make it more expensive for China to borrow money on international markets, further exacerbating its economic challenges.

The agency cited several reasons for its negative outlook, including concerns over China’s rising debt levels and the impact it could have on the country’s fiscal strength. China’s total debt, which includes government, corporate, and household debt, has surged in recent years and currently stands at around 300% of its GDP.

Moody’s also expressed concerns about the ongoing trade war between China and the United States. The trade dispute has already had a significant impact on China’s economy, with slowing growth and declining exports. The agency warned that further escalation in the trade war could have a detrimental effect on China’s fiscal strength and ability to service its debt.

China’s government has taken steps to address its debt problem, including implementing stricter regulations on lending and cracking down on risky borrowing practices. However, Moody’s noted that these measures could take time to have a meaningful impact, and there are still uncertainties surrounding China’s ability to successfully manage its debt levels.

The downgrade comes as a blow to Chinese authorities, who have been working hard to stabilize the country’s economy and maintain investor confidence. Chinese officials have sought to downplay the significance of the downgrade, arguing that it does not accurately reflect the country’s economic fundamentals.

Nevertheless, the negative outlook from Moody’s is likely to increase concerns among investors and could lead to further capital outflows from China. The downgrade also raises questions about China’s ability to attract foreign investment and could impact the country’s access to international capital markets.

It remains to be seen how China will respond to Moody’s downgrade and the challenges it faces in the coming months. However, the negative outlook is a stark reminder of the economic headwinds the country is currently facing and the potential risks it poses to global financial stability..

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@cnnbrk said Moody's downgrades China's credit outlook to negative, citing downside risks to the country's fiscal strength. cnn.it/3t26CFM

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